All Picks
MLB · Moneyline
Seattle Mariners
@
St. Louis Cardinals
Date
Sat, Apr 25
Time
12:15 AM
Venue
Busch Stadium
Spread
Mariners ML
Odds
-163
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Mariners ML
-163 · 1 Unit
63%
The Edge
Kirby's pitching edge and Seattle's superior team ERA justify a lean toward the Mariners ML, but Seattle's historically bad road ATS record and St. Louis's strong home performance cap this at a LEAN rather than a PICK.
Key Factors
Kirby (2.97 ERA) vs Pallante (4.05 ERA) — over 1.0 ERA gap favoring Seattle's starter
Seattle team ERA 3.42 vs St. Louis team ERA 4.77 — a 1.35-run gap suggesting a significantly better pitching staff overall
Seattle opponent OPS 0.701 vs St. Louis opponent OPS 0.740 — Cardinals pitching staff allows harder contact across the board
Weather: 72°F, wind 8 mph out to RF at neutral Busch Stadium (run factor 0.99) — mild conditions that don't suppress Kirby's edge