All Picks
MLB · Moneyline
Seattle Mariners
@
St. Louis Cardinals
Date
Sun, Apr 26
Time
6:15 PM
Venue
Busch Stadium
Spread
Mariners ML
Odds
-136
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Mariners ML
-136 · 1 Unit
63%
The Edge
A lean toward Seattle ML is supported by the pitching edge and active win streak, but the Mariners' dismal road ATS record and St. Louis's strong home ATS performance cap this at a lean rather than a firm pick.
Key Factors
Seattle team ERA 3.57 vs St. Louis 4.94 — a 1.37-run gap favoring Mariners pitching staff overall
Emerson Hancock (2.83 ERA, 2-1) vs Michael McGreevy (3.29 ERA, 1-2) — starter edge goes to Seattle
Seattle on a W3 streak, winning both games of this series (11-9 and 3-2) vs Cardinals on L3
Seattle road ATS as favorite sits at 9-16 (.360) but moneyline at -136 is in the moderate sweet spot where the model performs best