All Picks
MLB · Moneyline
Colorado Rockies
@
New York Mets
Date
Sun, Apr 26
Time
9:10 PM
Venue
Citi Field
Spread
Rockies ML
Odds
+153
Risk
MOD
LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Rockies ML
+153 · 1 Unit
60%
The Edge
Colorado ML is a LEAN — the Mets' terrible home ATS record and Senga's brutal ERA create a real edge, but the unknown Rockies starter and Citi Field's pitcher-friendly environment prevent this from reaching PICK threshold.
Key Factors
Mets are 3-10 (.231) ATS at home this season — one of the worst home ATS marks in the league
Colorado is 8-6 (.571) ATS on the road and 17-10 (.630) ATS overall, a +28% edge over the Mets
Kodai Senga is 0-3 with an 8.83 ERA — an historically bad line that makes the Mets' starter a liability regardless of opponent
Colorado's team OPS (.717) and BA (.252) both significantly outpace the Mets' offense (.636 OPS, .230 BA), giving the Rockies a clear offensive edge